Adapting to Uncertainty: The Impact on US Consumer Income and Expenditure
President Trump’s 2025 package of higher tariffs, tax cuts and tighter immigration controls is reshaping US consumer markets. Uncertainty and rising inflation expectations are dampening demand, and spending growth across all categories is expected to moderate, with no clear winners. While many incentives may sunset with the 2029 term limit, elevated tariffs and weaker investment incentives are likely to suppress confidence and spending for at least another two years post-administration.